Al Nasr Cairo vs El Seka El Hadid

24 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Al Nasr Cairo

El Seka El Hadid

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 25.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.45 DRAW 30.8% 3.12 AWAY 30.0% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Nasr Cairo clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.6% win probability, compared with 39.2% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Nasr Cairo El Seka El Hadid

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Nasr Cairo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Nasr Cairo El Seka El Hadid

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Nasr Cairo El Seka El Hadid

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Nasr Cairo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Nasr Cairo ↑ +0.25 (+11.4%)

El Seka El Hadid ↓ -0.05 (-1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.