Tersana SC vs Baladiyet El Mahallah

25 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Tersana SC

Baladiyet El Mahallah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 35.3% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% 2.57 DRAW 34.2% 2.80 AWAY 28.5% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tersana SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tersana SC Baladiyet El Mahallah

Shots 11.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tersana SC Baladiyet El Mahallah

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Baladiyet El Mahallah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tersana SC Baladiyet El Mahallah

The combined recent performance profile favours Baladiyet El Mahallah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tersana SC ↑ +0.47 (+22.4%)

Baladiyet El Mahallah ↓ -0.23 (-6.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.