Dubai City vs Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

18 Sep 2026 · 16:40

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Dubai City

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 65.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.6% 6.40 DRAW 21.6% 4.33 AWAY 63.7% 1.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dubai City Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dubai City Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dubai City Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dubai City ↑ +0.97 (+17.9%)

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain ↓ -0.06 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.