Gulf United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra

18 Sep 2026 · 16:40

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.3 pp

Gulf United FC

Al Jazira Al Hamra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% 1.81 DRAW 23.6% 3.90 AWAY 25.6% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Gulf United FC substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.1% win probability, compared with 50.8% implied by the market. The 6.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Gulf United FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gulf United FC Al Jazira Al Hamra

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Gulf United FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gulf United FC Al Jazira Al Hamra

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 9.3

Gulf United FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gulf United FC Al Jazira Al Hamra

The combined recent performance profile favours Gulf United FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gulf United FC ↑ +0.08 (+4.8%)

Al Jazira Al Hamra ↓ -0.10 (-2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.