AC Carpi vs ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

AC Carpi

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% DRAW 32.0% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.17 DRAW 31.5% 3.14 AWAY 37.3% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Carpi ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Carpi ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Carpi ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AC Carpi ↑ +0.62 (+24.3%)

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo ↑ +0.15 (+6.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.