Albinoleffe vs Alcione Milano

27 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Albinoleffe

Alcione Milano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% 2.28 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 28.0% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alcione Milano

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albinoleffe Alcione Milano

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albinoleffe Alcione Milano

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Albinoleffe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albinoleffe Alcione Milano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Albinoleffe ↑ +0.28 (+14.0%)

Alcione Milano ↓ -0.13 (-3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.