Municipal Pococi (W) vs Alajuelense (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Municipal Pococi (W)

Alajuelense (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.4% DRAW 8.0% AWAY 88.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.3% 17.00 DRAW 10.7% 8.50 AWAY 84.0% 1.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Alajuelense (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.6% win probability, compared with 84.0% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Alajuelense (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Pococi (W) Alajuelense (W)

Shots 2.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 20.5 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Alajuelense (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Pococi (W) Alajuelense (W)

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Alajuelense (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Pococi (W) Alajuelense (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Alajuelense (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Municipal Pococi (W) = (0.0%)

Alajuelense (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.