Scafatese vs Team Altamura

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Scafatese

Team Altamura

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.25 DRAW 30.6% 3.10 AWAY 27.1% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Scafatese has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scafatese Team Altamura

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scafatese Team Altamura

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Scafatese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scafatese Team Altamura

The combined recent performance profile favours Scafatese.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Scafatese ↑ +0.55 (+32.4%)

Team Altamura ↓ -1.12 (-24.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.