FC Moravia vs AD Carmelita

02 Oct 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

FC Moravia

AD Carmelita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.21 DRAW 25.5% 3.74 AWAY 31.3% 3.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Moravia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Moravia AD Carmelita

Shots 18.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Moravia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Moravia AD Carmelita

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

AD Carmelita has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Moravia AD Carmelita

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Moravia ↑ +0.26 (+13.3%)

AD Carmelita ↓ -0.26 (-7.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.