Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay de Coronado

29 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Cariari Pococi

CS Uruguay de Coronado

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% 1.71 DRAW 25.7% 3.62 AWAY 20.0% 4.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Cariari Pococi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cariari Pococi CS Uruguay de Coronado

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cariari Pococi CS Uruguay de Coronado

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cariari Pococi CS Uruguay de Coronado

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cariari Pococi ↓ -0.23 (-11.9%)

CS Uruguay de Coronado ↑ +1.56 (+50.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.