Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs Cariari Pococi

22 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Cariari Pococi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.33 DRAW 27.5% 3.40 AWAY 32.4% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pitbulls Santa Barbara Cariari Pococi

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pitbulls Santa Barbara Cariari Pococi

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pitbulls Santa Barbara Cariari Pococi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Pitbulls Santa Barbara ↑ +0.18 (+8.4%)

Cariari Pococi ↓ -0.05 (-1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.