AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

AD Sarchi

ADR Jicaral

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.0% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 50.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% 3.43 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 46.7% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ADR Jicaral relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.0% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ADR Jicaral has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral

Shots 16.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 18.3 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours ADR Jicaral, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8

ADR Jicaral has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral

The combined recent performance profile favours ADR Jicaral.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AD Sarchi ↑ +0.08 (+2.4%)

ADR Jicaral ↑ +0.12 (+6.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.