AD Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

AD Cofutpa

PFA Santa Cruz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 31.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.45 DRAW 28.0% 3.34 AWAY 33.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Cofutpa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Cofutpa PFA Santa Cruz

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours AD Cofutpa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Cofutpa PFA Santa Cruz

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Cofutpa PFA Santa Cruz

The combined recent performance profile favours AD Cofutpa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AD Cofutpa ↓ -0.25 (-9.3%)

PFA Santa Cruz ↑ +0.55 (+25.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.