Canaa EC vs Luziania

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Canaa EC

Luziania

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 1.97 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 25.5% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Luziania

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canaa EC Luziania

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Luziania, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canaa EC Luziania

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Canaa EC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canaa EC Luziania

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Canaa EC ↑ +0.06 (+3.2%)

Luziania ↑ +0.24 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.