CA Taguatinga vs Planaltina

27 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

CA Taguatinga

Planaltina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.5% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% 1.63 DRAW 24.7% 3.80 AWAY 17.7% 5.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Taguatinga

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Taguatinga Planaltina

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Taguatinga, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Taguatinga Planaltina

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.0

Planaltina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Taguatinga Planaltina

The combined recent performance profile favours Planaltina.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CA Taguatinga ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

Planaltina ↑ +0.97 (+22.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.