Gubbio vs AS Ostia Mare

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Gubbio

AS Ostia Mare

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 30.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.42 DRAW 29.2% 3.29 AWAY 31.0% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AS Ostia Mare

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gubbio AS Ostia Mare

Shots 9.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gubbio AS Ostia Mare

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gubbio AS Ostia Mare

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gubbio ↑ +0.47 (+24.1%)

AS Ostia Mare ↓ -0.30 (-8.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.