Vis Pesaro vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Vis Pesaro

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 49.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.8% 4.31 DRAW 29.3% 3.35 AWAY 47.9% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vis Pesaro FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vis Pesaro FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vis Pesaro FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Vis Pesaro ↑ +0.91 (+26.8%)

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.