GKS Katowice (W) vs Legia Warsaw (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

GKS Katowice (W)

Legia Warsaw (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% 1.63 DRAW 22.4% 4.33 AWAY 18.2% 5.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: GKS Katowice (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

GKS Katowice (W) Legia Warsaw (W)

Shots 16.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 20.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GKS Katowice (W) Legia Warsaw (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

GKS Katowice (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GKS Katowice (W) Legia Warsaw (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

GKS Katowice (W) ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Legia Warsaw (W) ↑ +1.22 (+29.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.