SE Belford Roxo vs Cardoso Moreira

20 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

SE Belford Roxo

Cardoso Moreira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% 2.59 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 38.6% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SE Belford Roxo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SE Belford Roxo Cardoso Moreira

Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours SE Belford Roxo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SE Belford Roxo Cardoso Moreira

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Cardoso Moreira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SE Belford Roxo Cardoso Moreira

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SE Belford Roxo ↑ +0.14 (+5.7%)

Cardoso Moreira ↓ -0.12 (-4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.