Barra Mansa vs Buzios

28 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Barra Mansa

Buzios

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 18.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% 1.57 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 17.3% 5.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Buzios

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barra Mansa Buzios

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barra Mansa Buzios

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barra Mansa Buzios

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barra Mansa = (0.0%)

Buzios ↑ +0.28 (+5.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.