Leixoes U23 vs Vizela U23

28 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Leixoes U23

Vizela U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 31.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.03 DRAW 24.2% 3.92 AWAY 29.2% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vizela U23 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.9% win probability, compared with 29.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vizela U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leixoes U23 Vizela U23

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leixoes U23 Vizela U23

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Vizela U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leixoes U23 Vizela U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Vizela U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leixoes U23 ↑ +0.11 (+5.7%)

Vizela U23 ↓ -0.10 (-3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.