Bolivar vs Blooming

27 Sep 2026 · 23:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Bolivar

Blooming

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.7% DRAW 11.3% AWAY 6.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.0% 1.14 DRAW 12.1% 7.74 AWAY 5.9% 16.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bolivar

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bolivar Blooming

Shots 23.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Bolivar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bolivar Blooming

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Blooming has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bolivar Blooming

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bolivar ↓ -0.04 (-3.2%)

Blooming ↑ +2.00 (+14.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.