GV San Jose vs Independiente Petrolero

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

GV San Jose

Independiente Petrolero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.10 DRAW 26.1% 3.60 AWAY 29.3% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Independiente Petrolero

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

GV San Jose Independiente Petrolero

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Independiente Petrolero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GV San Jose Independiente Petrolero

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 21.3 · On target allowed 8.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GV San Jose Independiente Petrolero

The combined recent performance profile favours Independiente Petrolero.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

GV San Jose = (0.0%)

Independiente Petrolero ↑ +0.29 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.