Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro

28 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Real Tomayapo

Real Oruro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.06 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 30.9% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Real Tomayapo clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.9% win probability, compared with 44.4% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Real Tomayapo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Tomayapo Real Oruro

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Real Tomayapo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Tomayapo Real Oruro

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Real Tomayapo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Tomayapo Real Oruro

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Tomayapo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Real Tomayapo ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Real Oruro ↑ +0.12 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.