Real Potosi vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano

30 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Real Potosi

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.1% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 9.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.4% 1.32 DRAW 15.5% 6.24 AWAY 11.0% 8.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Real Potosi relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.1% win probability, compared with 73.4% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Real Potosi has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Potosi Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Shots 14.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Real Potosi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Potosi Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 9.3

Real Potosi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Potosi Academia de Balompie Boliviano

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Potosi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Real Potosi ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

Academia de Balompie Boliviano ↑ +1.13 (+18.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.