CD Torrijos vs CD Quintanar del Rey

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

CD Torrijos

CD Quintanar del Rey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 31.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% 2.86 DRAW 32.0% 3.00 AWAY 34.3% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Torrijos relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.1% win probability, compared with 33.6% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Quintanar del Rey

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Torrijos CD Quintanar del Rey

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Quintanar del Rey, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Torrijos CD Quintanar del Rey

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.8

CD Torrijos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Torrijos CD Quintanar del Rey

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Torrijos ↑ +0.66 (+30.0%)

CD Quintanar del Rey ↓ -0.30 (-9.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.