Toledo vs La Solana

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Toledo

La Solana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.8% DRAW 18.0% AWAY 8.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.3% 1.29 DRAW 18.9% 4.95 AWAY 8.8% 10.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Toledo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toledo La Solana

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Toledo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toledo La Solana

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toledo La Solana

The combined recent performance profile favours Toledo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Toledo ↓ -0.04 (-3.2%)

La Solana ↑ +3.10 (+41.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.