London City Lionesses (W) vs Brighton (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

London City Lionesses (W)

Brighton (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.83 DRAW 23.1% 4.14 AWAY 24.8% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for London City Lionesses (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.1% win probability, compared with 52.1% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

London City Lionesses (W) Brighton (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 9.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours London City Lionesses (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

London City Lionesses (W) Brighton (W)

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

London City Lionesses (W) Brighton (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours London City Lionesses (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

London City Lionesses (W) ↓ -0.12 (-6.0%)

Brighton (W) ↑ +0.46 (+13.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.