AD Cala Pozuelo vs Leganes B

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

AD Cala Pozuelo

Leganes B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 47.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% 3.59 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 47.2% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leganes B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Cala Pozuelo Leganes B

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Leganes B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Cala Pozuelo Leganes B

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Cala Pozuelo Leganes B

The combined recent performance profile favours Leganes B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

AD Cala Pozuelo ↑ +0.29 (+8.8%)

Leganes B ↑ +0.00 (+0.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.