Moravia (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Moravia (W)

Carrillo FF (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 34.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.22 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 33.6% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Moravia (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Moravia (W) Carrillo FF (W)

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Moravia (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Moravia (W) Carrillo FF (W)

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Carrillo FF (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Moravia (W) Carrillo FF (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Moravia (W) ↑ +0.10 (+4.8%)

Carrillo FF (W) ↑ +0.25 (+9.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.