Conil CF vs Cadiz Mirandilla

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Conil CF

Cadiz Mirandilla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 23.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.48 DRAW 32.6% 2.95 AWAY 28.7% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Conil CF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.5% win probability, compared with 38.7% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Conil CF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Conil CF Cadiz Mirandilla

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Conil CF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Conil CF Cadiz Mirandilla

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Conil CF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Conil CF Cadiz Mirandilla

The combined recent performance profile favours Conil CF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Conil CF ↓ -0.03 (-1.2%)

Cadiz Mirandilla ↑ +0.73 (+27.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.