Real Union de Tenerife vs CD Laguna

02 Oct 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Real Union de Tenerife

CD Laguna

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.1% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 18.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.66 DRAW 22.2% 4.30 AWAY 20.4% 4.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Real Union de Tenerife relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.1% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Real Union de Tenerife has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Union de Tenerife CD Laguna

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Real Union de Tenerife, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Union de Tenerife CD Laguna

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Union de Tenerife CD Laguna

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Union de Tenerife.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Real Union de Tenerife ↑ +0.05 (+2.8%)

CD Laguna ↑ +0.35 (+8.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.