Brighton (W) vs Tottenham (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Brighton (W)

Tottenham (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 39.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.55 DRAW 23.9% 4.04 AWAY 38.3% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tottenham (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brighton (W) Tottenham (W)

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 19.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brighton (W) Tottenham (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brighton (W) Tottenham (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brighton (W) ↑ +0.25 (+10.9%)

Tottenham (W) ↓ -0.08 (-3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.