Ipswich Town (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Ipswich Town (W)

London City Lionesses (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.5% DRAW 6.9% AWAY 90.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.8% 34.00 DRAW 7.9% 12.00 AWAY 89.3% 1.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ipswich Town (W) London City Lionesses (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 17.5 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours London City Lionesses (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ipswich Town (W) London City Lionesses (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.3

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ipswich Town (W) London City Lionesses (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours London City Lionesses (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ipswich Town (W) ↑ +8.00 (+30.8%)

London City Lionesses (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.