Leicester (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Leicester (W)

London City Lionesses (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.6% DRAW 13.3% AWAY 81.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.7% 17.00 DRAW 13.8% 7.07 AWAY 80.5% 1.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leicester (W) London City Lionesses (W)

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leicester (W) London City Lionesses (W)

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3

London City Lionesses (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leicester (W) London City Lionesses (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours London City Lionesses (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leicester (W) ↑ +2.00 (+13.3%)

London City Lionesses (W) ↑ +0.07 (+6.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.