Tottenham (W) vs West Ham (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.3 pp

Tottenham (W)

West Ham (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.8% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.5% 1.30 DRAW 17.6% 5.28 AWAY 10.8% 8.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Tottenham (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.8% win probability, compared with 71.5% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tottenham (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tottenham (W) West Ham (W)

Shots 18.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Tottenham (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tottenham (W) West Ham (W)

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Tottenham (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tottenham (W) West Ham (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Tottenham (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tottenham (W) ↓ -0.14 (-10.0%)

West Ham (W) ↑ +2.33 (+37.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.