CE Constancia vs Alcudia

26 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

CE Constancia

Alcudia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.4% 1.53 DRAW 22.1% 4.33 AWAY 15.6% 6.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Alcudia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CE Constancia Alcudia

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours CE Constancia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CE Constancia Alcudia

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Alcudia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CE Constancia Alcudia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CE Constancia = (0.0%)

Alcudia ↑ +1.59 (+35.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.