Boreham Wood vs Everton U21

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Boreham Wood

Everton U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.1% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% 1.24 DRAW 14.4% 6.65 AWAY 8.7% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Boreham Wood

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boreham Wood Everton U21

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boreham Wood Everton U21

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Boreham Wood has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boreham Wood Everton U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Boreham Wood.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Boreham Wood ↓ -0.16 (-11.4%)

Everton U21 ↑ +5.50 (+100.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.