Utiel vs CD Roda

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Utiel

CD Roda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% 2.20 DRAW 31.2% 3.02 AWAY 26.0% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Utiel

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Utiel CD Roda

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Utiel CD Roda

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

CD Roda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Utiel CD Roda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Utiel ↓ -0.30 (-12.0%)

CD Roda ↑ +0.75 (+25.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.