Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC

01 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Spokane Velocity FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.36 DRAW 25.4% 3.76 AWAY 34.1% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chattanooga Red Wolves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.2% win probability, compared with 40.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Spokane Velocity FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chattanooga Red Wolves Spokane Velocity FC

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chattanooga Red Wolves Spokane Velocity FC

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chattanooga Red Wolves Spokane Velocity FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chattanooga Red Wolves ↑ +0.04 (+1.5%)

Spokane Velocity FC ↑ +0.09 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.