E.F. Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Quintana

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada

CD Quintana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 16.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% 1.61 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 16.8% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Quintana

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada CD Quintana

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Quintana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada CD Quintana

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada CD Quintana

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Quintana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada ↑ +0.08 (+5.0%)

CD Quintana = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.