Bolton U21 vs QPR U21

21 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

Bolton U21

QPR U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 2.05 DRAW 23.4% 4.02 AWAY 30.8% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bolton U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.4% win probability, compared with 45.8% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bolton U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bolton U21 QPR U21

Shots 13.5 · On target 8.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Bolton U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bolton U21 QPR U21

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bolton U21 QPR U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Bolton U21 = (0.0%)

QPR U21 ↑ +0.45 (+17.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.