Coventry U21 vs Colchester U21

29 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Coventry U21

Colchester U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.1% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 18.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% 1.54 DRAW 18.9% 4.96 AWAY 20.2% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Coventry U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.1% win probability, compared with 60.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Coventry U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coventry U21 Colchester U21

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coventry U21 Colchester U21

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 9.5

Coventry U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coventry U21 Colchester U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Coventry U21 ↓ -0.06 (-3.9%)

Colchester U21 ↑ +1.03 (+28.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.