Charlton U21 vs Millwall U21

29 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Charlton U21

Millwall U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 23.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% 1.70 DRAW 20.7% 4.48 AWAY 24.9% 3.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Charlton U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.5% win probability, compared with 54.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Charlton U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Charlton U21 Millwall U21

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Charlton U21 Millwall U21

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Charlton U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Charlton U21 Millwall U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Charlton U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Charlton U21 = (0.0%)

Millwall U21 ↓ -0.10 (-2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.