USD Fezzanese vs ASDC Gozzano

21 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

USD Fezzanese

ASDC Gozzano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 31.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.18 DRAW 29.1% 3.15 AWAY 28.7% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ASDC Gozzano relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.4% win probability, compared with 28.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASDC Gozzano

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

USD Fezzanese ASDC Gozzano

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours ASDC Gozzano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USD Fezzanese ASDC Gozzano

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8

USD Fezzanese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USD Fezzanese ASDC Gozzano

The combined recent performance profile favours ASDC Gozzano.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USD Fezzanese = (0.0%)

ASDC Gozzano = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.