CD Derio vs Santurtzi

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

CD Derio

Santurtzi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.93 DRAW 27.8% 3.40 AWAY 23.4% 4.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Derio

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Derio Santurtzi

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Derio, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Derio Santurtzi

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Santurtzi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Derio Santurtzi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Derio ↑ +0.27 (+16.1%)

Santurtzi ↓ -0.75 (-15.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.