Celtiga vs CD Estradense

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Celtiga

CD Estradense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 46.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.66 DRAW 28.7% 3.26 AWAY 45.7% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Estradense

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Celtiga CD Estradense

Shots 4.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Estradense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Celtiga CD Estradense

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Celtiga has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Celtiga CD Estradense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Celtiga ↑ +0.72 (+24.3%)

CD Estradense ↓ -0.29 (-12.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.