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Spain Tercera Group 1 · ES

Lalin vs CD Barco

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
Lalin
CD Barco
HOME 38.5% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 31.9%
HOME 39.7% 2.30 DRAW 29.5% 3.10 AWAY 30.8% 2.97

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Barco

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Lalin CD Barco
Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Barco, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Lalin CD Barco
Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Lalin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Lalin CD Barco

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Barco.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lalin = (0.0%)
CD Barco ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.