Escobedo vs Selaya

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Escobedo

Selaya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 21.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.71 DRAW 24.7% 3.80 AWAY 20.5% 4.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Selaya has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Escobedo Selaya

Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Selaya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Escobedo Selaya

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Escobedo Selaya

The combined recent performance profile favours Selaya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Escobedo ↓ -0.03 (-1.8%)

Selaya ↓ -0.18 (-3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.