Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Middlesbrough U21

Genk Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 44.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 2.83 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 44.7% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Middlesbrough U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Middlesbrough U21 Genk Reserves

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Middlesbrough U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Middlesbrough U21 Genk Reserves

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Genk Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Middlesbrough U21 Genk Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Middlesbrough U21 ↑ +0.20 (+7.4%)

Genk Reserves ↓ -0.40 (-16.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.